Tuesday 25 July 2023

Money, money everywhere and not a drop to drink

Water, wealth uncreation and turning the means of life into financial assets

The scandal of Thames Water – £14 billion in debt and seemingly incapable of fixing leaks or avoiding untreated sewage being pumped into rivers – says so much about our allegedly democratic political system.

The Conservatives, naturally, want renationalisation – should it become unavoidable – to be a strictly temporary stop-gap before, as with insolvent banks after the 2008 crisis, water is returned to the good hands of the private sector.

But the other team, Labour, are also against permanent nationalisation. In fact, together with the water industry, they are racking their brains to come up with plausible alternatives to it.

Such an absurd situation, at a time when large pluralities of voters, including Conservative ones, want the water ‘industry’ to be taken back into public hands, is perhaps more understandable in the light of the last New Labour government’s intimate ties to the water companies.

Ruth Kelly, for example, former cabinet minister under both Blair and Brown, is head of Water UK, the trade association for the water companies and naturally regards nationalisation as anathema. Angela Smith, former Labour MP and one of the founders of (Don’t) Change UK, vehemently opposed Labour’s previous policy, under Corbyn, of renationalising water. She was quietly readmitted to the Labour party last year. Ian Pearson, former New Labour environment minister is a non-exec director of Thames Water, the UK’s biggest water company, which also employed the ex-Labour cabinet minister and one time Trotskyist, Gus Macdonald, as its  European advisor between 2006 and 2016.

Such an elite consensus is symptomatic of the British oligarchy which masquerades, less and less convincingly with every month that goes by, as a model democracy. The Conservatives are obviously in favour of the continuation of privately-run water – it was Thatcher who privatised it in 1989. But the opposition Labour party is so well ensconced in the (fraying) order of things, that it is just as ideologically opposed to a change in the status quo. Notwithstanding obvious errors like the Brexit referendum, which released so many exorcised ghosts from the closet, British ‘democracy’ is about persuading the public to acquiesce in a state of affairs they dislike more and more as time passes.

But if the water ‘industry’ illustrates the hollowness of democratic decision-making, it also exposes something fundamentally rotten in the way we approach our economy as a whole. The water companies are, it has been reported, collectively in debt to the tune of £65 billion, up from nothing when they were privatised. “The staggering combined debt pile built up by the UK’s 12 water companies means that huge swathes of cash are being spent on interest payments,” fumed the Daily Mail a few weeks’ ago, “money that could be spent cleaning up polluted rivers or fixing leaky pipes.”

But no-one seems to ask why they are in debt. It can’t have been to fund infrastructure investment as the sewage-tainted rivers and seas and unplugged leaks wouldn’t exist if the infrastructure was properly maintained, let alone upgraded. The real reason is both more prosaic and depressing. Deliberately placing companies in debt, in order to extract money from them, is a core part of the strategy of their immensely wealthy owners.

The technical term for this is a ‘leveraged buyout’. The idea goes back to the 1960s but really only took off in the 1980s and ’90s. One American writer on “asset-manager capitalism” describes it thus:

[Traders realized] they could buy a company with borrowed money, using the company’s assets as collateral for the loan. They then transferred the debt to the company, which in effect had to pay for its own hijacking, and eventually sold it for a tidy profit.

The root of Thames Water’s debt affliction stems from the time it was bought by Australian asset manager Macquarie in exactly such a leveraged buyout in 2006. According to Money Week magazine, by the time it was sold again in 2017 its debt had ballooned from £3.4bn to £10.8bn”.

Incidentally, Macquarie’s interest in the UK’s Water ‘industry’ has not abated. In 2021 it completed a “debt investment” in Anglian Water and acquired a majority stake in Southern Water.

According to American economist Michael Hudson, asset managers and ‘activist shareholders’ now look upon companies generally as “cash cows”. Rather than “plowing [sic] profits back into the corporation to expand the business by new long-term investment, research and development,” he argues, “the company is urged to pay out its earnings as dividends and buy back its stock to bid up its price.”

Share buybacks, illegal until the Thatcher and Reagan eras, have become routine for corporations. Among UK water companies, the owners of South West Water and Yorkshire Water have both initiated share buybacks. The effect of a firm buying back some of its own shares is to reduce their overall number, thus increasing the earnings per share that shareholders receive. However, there is a cost. The money used could have been deployed to invest in the business or, in the case of water companies, modernise infrastructure or reduce bills. According to one critique, “By systematically draining capital from America’s public companies, the habit … corrupts the underpinnings of corporate capitalism itself.”

Politicians aside, many British people are outraged that these predatory capitalist practices are being used to degrade a vital public service such as water provision, without which life would be unbearably hard. But the uncomfortable fact is that such predatory practices are degrading capitalism as well.

The peril of damaging the delicate flower of ‘wealth creation’ is invariably raised whenever the idea of public ownership or more regulation or taxation is mooted. Sir Keir of Starmer-land, leader of something called ‘the Labour party’, says that ‘wealth creation’ and economic growth must happen first if money is to become available for public services.  But today’s financial managers, in the water industry or elsewhere, aren’t doing anything to create wealth. Instead, by stopping infrastructure or capital investment from occurring, they’re destroying it – to no-one’s benefit but their own.

And this is before the fact that they invariably avoid paying any tax on their ‘wealth creating’ activities is brought into the equation. Because water firms – and many other companies – are drowning in debt, they pay very little tax on their “special dividend payments”. Thames Water, for example, admits it doesn’t currently pay any corporation tax “because of the Government’s Capital Allowances scheme and the impact of our interest costs”.

We have been lulled into accepting the fiction that wealth creation is synonymous with rich people doing whatever it takes to become even richer – that a high share price is a sign of economic vigour  – when, in reality, their labyrinthine money-making schemes can be its utter antithesis.

Arguments contesting the duplicitous concept of wealth creation have generally taken the form of arguing that other people – workers, entrepreneurs or consumers – are doing the real work of creating wealth. The owners, by contrast, do very little, apart from becoming legally entitled to receive it after it has been generated. This is what Marxists call (surplus) value. But even one takes the highly dubious wealth creation ruse at purely face value, it involves the creation of jobs and products or services by someone. How are we to react if, in fact, no value is being created, besides the ‘wealth effect’, the translation of capital gains made in the stock market into luxury consumption?

At this point someone will be sure to pipe up about pension funds. They loom large among the investors in water companies (and electricity firms), either as clients of the private equity investment firms that own them, or as partners in consortia that run water companies directly. For example, the Universities Superannuation Scheme (for academics in the UK) and the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System both own large stakes in Thames Water.

But pension funds are as desperate for ‘yield’ as anyone else, in order to pay for the pensions of current and future retirees. They illustrate the absurd quid pro quo we have got ourselves into – that we must accept sewage being pumped into rivers and seas, and bills that keep rising while tax is avoided, in order to ensure barely adequate occupational pensions for thousands of ordinary people.

This is not a choice we should be forced to make. As should be obvious since the financial crisis, the stock market is not, despite superficial appearances and the best efforts of governments through ‘quantitative easing’, an eternally bountiful cash cow – either for money managers or pension funds. The old pension system in the UK – a better basic pension and an occupational (SERPS) scheme – both based on the pay-as-you-go principle offered more stability than endlessly trying to squeeze as much as possible from unwilling companies or privatised utilities that neglect their primary functions in favour of making money.

Still there is something archetypal about water. Along with energy, health services, ports, nursing homes, waste management, car parks, telecommunications etc., it is a real asset with a guaranteed cash flow that makes it irresistibly attractive to asset managers. This is, according to one author, “a society in which the key physical systems supporting social life and its reproduction—so-called ‘real assets’—are increasingly owned by institutional investors [pension funds, insurance companies, university endowments] specifically through the mediation of dedicated asset managers [the plunderers] and their investment funds.”

However, it seems peculiarly odious that water, so basic to the preservation of life, is treated in this manner. One of the first things acts of a Corbyn-led Labour government would have been to renationalise water, while his successor is brainstorming ways to head off the threat of that common sense option being taken. Nothing else illustrates quite so starkly which side they are on.

 

Addendum: Last week ITV broadcast a programme called 'Dirty Water – what went wrong', an investigation into why there were more than 300,000 sewage spills in England & Wales last year. But the programme shied away from the real reason things have gone horribly wrong – privatisation. Specifically a system in which asset managers buy water companies by placing them in debt and then get them to pay for the privilege of being bought out – in the process sacrificing the basic function they are supposed to have, which is to ensure clean water. The programme suggested that bills would have to rise to pay for the investment in infrastructure that will have to take place to avoid the mass contamination of water in the future. But bills have already increased by 40% in real terms since privatisation, with the result of sewage being pumped into rivers & seas across the country. So where has all the money gone?  You don't need me to tell you.

The experience of England is not unique. In the book Our Lives in their Portfolios, author Brett Christophers relates how private equity companies have acquired water systems across cities in America with the result that bills have skyrocketed while the systems themselves have been left in a terrible state. In England & Wales all but three of the water companies in England & Wales have been removed from the stock market by private equity firms.

The incidents are not exceptions, says Christophers. "Rather, they are the more or less inevitable upshot of core features of the model by which asset-managers society operates. They are, in short, a feature not a bug".

I look forward to a TV programme about that.


Friday 7 July 2023

The free market reveals its true colours

 

Corporate profits, not workers’ wages, are the largest factor behind the inflation afflicting Europe, it was revealed last month.

This was the conclusion of the International Monetary Fund, a body not noted for its pro-worker outlook. Rather it’s been a bastion of the austerity mania besetting the world over the last few decades.

The IMF conceded that domestic profits were responsible for 45% of the inflation that occurred in Europe over the last year. Rising import prices, by contrast, contributed 40% and labour costs 25%.

This rather contradicts the assertion of conservative commentators that we are in the grip of a ‘wage-price’ spiral. This idea was always fantastical in the context of the longest wage stagnation in Britain since Napoleonic times.  Costs – labour costs – that are going down, or barely rising, in real terms, can’t be responsible for soaring prices (inflation).

Gouge Away

In contrast, the evidence for a ‘profits-price spiral’ is strong. One recent book on the cost of living crisis in Britain found that the biggest companies increased their “mark ups” – prices above the cost of production – from 58% in 2002 to 82% in 2020. The Bank of England has recently found that goods price inflation (prices) is still rising while the cost of inputs is falling. Now we have the IMF – hardly a neutral body – admitting that “firms have passed on more than the nominal cost shock” [of the rise in commodity prices caused by the pandemic, the war in Ukraine etc.] to consumers.

But what is really interesting is that if mainstream economics is remotely trustworthy as a description of reality this profits-price spiral shouldn’t be happening at all.

The core belief of mainstream economics is that we inhabit an innately competitive, self-regulating market economy whose defining characteristic is price competition. As neoclassical economist Milton Friedman asserted, competition exists when there are a large number of firms and none of them can control price levels even though they might want to. “An individual firm is powerless to intervene in ways that change the basic competitive forces it or another firm faces,” he said. “The fate of each business is thus largely determined by market forces beyond its control.”

Fellow ‘free market’ economist, and favourite of Margaret Thatcher, Friedrich Hayek echoed, “the price system will fulfil its function only if competition prevails, that is, if the individual producer has to adapt himself to price changes and cannot control them”.

Essentially, under the system, if one firm raises prices way beyond the cost of production, it will immediately face competition from another firm offering lower prices. Either it relents, or it goes bust.

But this is true only if it is the case that we live in this fabled market system, where impersonal competition is the rule everyone must abide by. But what if we don’t? What if, in fact, we live – whether we like it or not – in a corporate capitalist system where large, dominant firms are able to determine prices and levels of investment?

Marxist truth bomb

This is the conclusion of a variant of Marxist economics, known as monopoly capitalism. A group of large firms, it says, – not just one as the name suggests – rise to dominance and, as a result, are able to collude in raising prices, controlling levels of investment and the introduction of new technologies, and making it difficult for smaller firms to gain a foothold in the market.  This process is enabled by the fact that markets in general are becoming more concentrated – i.e. mergers mean that larger and larger firms dominate markets as opposed to the competitive idyll of a welter of small firms.

A think-tank report last summer in Britain found that, at the close of 2021, the profits of the largest non-financial companies were up 34% compared to pre-pandemic levels, with over 90% of the increase accounted for by just 25 companies. “Some firms could have considerable market power with very few competitors,” the report argued, “and this could be making the cost of living crisis worse by raising prices beyond what would be economically justified.”

What gives credence to the idea that the ‘market economy’ is not as innately competitive as claimed is that a profits price spiral was happening before the current spate of run-away inflation. As I noted in my 2019 book The Disobedient Society:

In 2016 The Economist magazine analysed 900 sectors of the US economy and found that 2/3rds became more concentrated between 1997 and 2012. As a result, corporate America was raking in ‘exceptional profits’ of about $300 billion a year, equivalent to a third of taxed operating profits. And contrary to ‘one of the fundamental principle of economics’—that prices equal marginal costs—these profits were not being passed on to the consumer, with some more concentrated sectors of the economy, according to The Economist’s analysis, seeing prices rises of double the rate of inflation.

Of course, back in 2016, consumer inflation wasn’t an issue, it was negligible. Rather, the fear was deflation and what that would do to the economy. Which does beg the question of what the original cause of the inflation we are now experiencing was? Possibly price gouging, therefore, didn’t spark the jump in inflation, but is helping to prolong it.

Reneging on the Deal

But what this does unquestionably do is undermine the whole justification of the ‘market’ economy.  Essentially, we in the West were presented with a deal. Put up with submission to the will of an employer in the form of wage labour, in addition to skyrocketing inequality, and you will be rewarded with cheap food and other consumer goods. In mainstream economics, labour is the burden for which consumption enabled by wages is the compensation. But this compensation is looking remarkably threadbare, and for many, non-existent. In the process, the whole concept of the market economy – competitive markets allocating scarce resources and ensuring the consumer gets the best possible outcome – is revealed to be something that exists in the pages of a textbook rather than in the real world.

The logical consequence is that if we can’t rely on the putative ‘market’ economy to do what it is supposed to do, then – at the very least – it needs to be properly regulated in the public interest by some body that is genuinely independent of corporate interests. Policies such as an excess profits tax and price caps become ways to correct what the market – because it isn’t a real market – is failing to do.

Meanwhile, we continue to reap the benefit of the ‘free market’. Even though it isn’t free and it doesn’t operate like a market.